Mafia round 93: hot potato! (game thread)

[Jamiet99uk]

my analysis suggests bunny and jamie are the same alignment
don't have time to explain right now

see you at EoD (or not)!

Ok this is a bit scummy.

On page 10 you accused me and Bunny of being scum partners. So this was already your read, all the way back 18 pages ago. Now you are purporting to have done new "analysis" which just indicates confirmation bias of your early, shitty, read, which you are trying to pass off as some new insight.

I see there has been no response to this.

^ @Bunny what was your reaction to this post? ^

[Jamiet99uk]

Sorry I got stuck in a time loop

Who should I give my potato to?

I'll trade you.

[Chaqa]

Sorry I got stuck in a time loop

Who should I give my potato to?

I'll trade you.

Oh I'm down for that. I wanted to give it to ND so it might blow up in his face but I think I'll settle for just voting him out.

##Vote ND

[DreamTrawler]

Sorry I got stuck in a time loop

Who should I give my potato to?

I'll trade you.

Oh I'm down for that. I wanted to give it to ND so it might blow up in his face but I think I'll settle for just voting him out.

##Vote ND

Reasoning?

[Chaqa]

I'll trade you.

Oh I'm down for that. I wanted to give it to ND so it might blow up in his face but I think I'll settle for just voting him out.

##Vote ND

Reasoning?

He's a tool

[Control V]

Personally I do not get the impression that DreamTrawler was trying to fake a township there.

Reading that as a townslip when it's about other people's thoughts is a bit risky?

What gives you the impression it's a townslip? I Didn't get the impression it was faked deliberately either but I don't think that's all you mean.

[Jamiet99uk]

Sorry I got stuck in a time loop

Who should I give my potato to?

I'll trade you.

Oh I'm down for that. I wanted to give it to ND so it might blow up in his face but I think I'll settle for just voting him out.

##Vote ND

If you're serious, I will change my order, and gift my hot potato to you instead of Bunny, who is the currently programmed recipient.

Confirm?

[Jamiet99uk]

Oh I'm down for that. I wanted to give it to ND so it might blow up in his face but I think I'll settle for just voting him out.

##Vote ND

Reasoning?

He's a tool

Is he scum tho?

[Jamiet99uk]

Personally I do not get the impression that DreamTrawler was trying to fake a township there.

Reading that as a townslip when it's about other people's thoughts is a bit risky?

What gives you the impression it's a townslip? I Didn't get the impression it was faked deliberately either but I don't think that's all you mean.

Wrongly assuming the scum had a N0 / D1 chat, when they do not, would be a town-slip if genuine, because scum would not be in any doubt about this.

[Control V]

Personally I do not get the impression that DreamTrawler was trying to fake a township there.

Reading that as a townslip when it's about other people's thoughts is a bit risky?

What gives you the impression it's a townslip? I Didn't get the impression it was faked deliberately either but I don't think that's all you mean.

Wrongly assuming the scum had a N0 / D1 chat, when they do not, would be a town-slip if genuine, because scum would not be in any doubt about this.

Yes but where did you see this assumption?

This is less a grill of you now but I'd like to clear this up.

[rdrivera2005]

Bozo - you've posted a lot but haven't voted for anyone or even really pointed fingers at anyone. Who do you suspect right now?

I don't have any strong scum reads, but there are probably mafia hiding in the low posters. Chaqa has not met the posting requirement, but without any additional information, I think claiming to have a potato is more likely to be done by town. I think DiplomacyandWarfare and Jamie are the other 2 who have claimed to have potatoes.

I thought ND's vote for you was questionable, maybe because I have often been accused of "hiding in mechanics".

##VOTE ND

ND isn't a bad vote. His third person shenanigan and his shitty or oportuvote on Dream are scummy. Plus, Bo choosing to vote me instead of ND also pinged me.

[Control V]

##vote: miminena

I'm not super attached to my prior wolfread on this slot but I do like the wagon comp more than the alternatives.

[Kakarroto]

Guys…can we not do the “vote red for scummy lurker” day 1 again?!?

He’s got like triple the posts he normally does.

He’s interacting a little and trying a little.

And we as a group kinda promised we’d reward that with letting him live till day 2 and try and see how to turn it around.

I agree. I wanna vote him too. But cmon. This is sooooo lazy, and we’re all gonna learn nothing.

So…##vote mimi.

A convert! Join the cul… club!

Can you explain Mimi a little?

She’s seemed both more cautious and less engaged than last game.

never forget that people can differ from game to game a little, due to some stuff like RL. Is stuff like that alignment indicative? Well maybe a little. Can have other influences too though.

Did you notice any malignance or agenda behind all that? To me it doesn't really look like that. I mean I could very well be wrong, but I don't really feel it with mimi

[BunnyGo]

I’m not caught up. Got slammed at work and 2 sick kids at home. Why ND?

[Kakarroto]

I scumread damo but I cant for the life of me figure out why

hmm towny post imo

will who are your trs?

Jamie, Dip for now, Ghug are the people I dont want to vote today

I dont really have any strong townreads atm if thats what you’re asking

didn't you give Bunny and me a town stamp (or at least town points) early? Like page 3 or 4? It's fine if you change your mind on stuff, just wanna know why that happened?

[Kakarroto]

I’m not caught up. Got slammed at work and 2 sick kids at home. Why ND?

just saw this while catching up

his explanation that Dream was mech focused but ND ignoring two other people who focussed much more on mech, plus his vote coming in at a time/place where it can very well be opportunistic mafia

[bozotheclown]

yeah, took a bit to read all that I've missed. Brain still a bit mushy, but I guess that's the best state in to answer questions, so if you have any, shoot them at me.

from all I've seen, I don't like ND's vote there so ##vote ND

while I concur with the thought that Dream is a little less obvious town as last game, I don't see anything eyecatching that would point to mafia on Dream; there were some people that talked way much mech, curious that ND didn't go for them, instead for a new player that is now in the lead (if I'm not wrong?) of the wagons. That's also a very usual place where mafia likes to pile on

this brings me to bozo and damo, which I'm not sure how to read here. Damo has corrected his numbers, but only after bozo posted his, and we haven't seen either maths. In the end they both kinda agreed to the same numbers (I still want to know how they get to lower than 25% on D2) so either both are mafia or those numbers are solid? I think?

I haven't noticed any correlation between them (well except the numbers) so I guess they aren't paired?

It is obvious through damo's iterations that he was doing the same thing I was, but had some errors somewhere. I just added the probabilities of each of the 7 potatoes exploding in each phase. The probability of an explosion is highest on N7, when the last potato activates (although there is less than 1% chance that the N1 potato is still around).

Bozo do you have any townreads, and do you have any scumreads?

The players I think are most likely to be town are DiplomacyandWarfare, miminena, DreamTrawler, damo, bo_sox, Chaqa, and you. For a number of the others, there is little to go on, but I don't have any strong scum reads yet.

[miminena]

##vote: miminena

I'm not super attached to my prior wolfread on this slot but I do like the wagon comp more than the alternatives.

idr you having a scumread on me before now?

also btw the bot didn't register your vote bc of the colon

[Kakarroto]

You’re not damo?

isn't damo one of your alts will? :3

Everyone’s my alt except you its all a lie its the truman show

ever since I saw that movie, I was wondering, what if I'M in it ...

then I think about and wonder "who would pay to see me" and quickly come back to my senses that any broadcast featuring me that way would go fast bankrupt

[bozotheclown]

I’m not caught up. Got slammed at work and 2 sick kids at home. Why ND?

My vote is for low activity, weak vote, and lack of better wagon options.