MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

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BunnyGo
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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#581 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:35 am

Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:31 am
I also cannot shake the feeling that ND is actually being nicer than he would normally be, and less abbrasive and obnoxious than i would expect him to be given current events.

It almost feels weird to say this, but in the ND frame of things he feels like he's trying to stay well under the radar.
Agreed
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#582 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:36 am

Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:33 am
is the bot offline?
Sort of. The landing page to use search function and change game is down.

Our orange GM gave the link to skip it for this game on page 1.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#583 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:26 am

BunnyGo wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:36 am
Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:33 am
is the bot offline?
Sort of. The landing page to use search function and change game is down.

Our orange GM gave the link to skip it for this game on page 1.
##CALL GM (or dargo or Chaqa)

Do any of you have the link to go straight to the search page of the bot?
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#584 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:32 am

Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:29 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 5:40 am
miminena wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:27 am


hmm... Will has been a bit weird about ghug throughout the day imo; they went from a slight read, to emphatically voting them, to feeling iffy about the wagon with little in-between. Not sure if this means anything, but it feels like an opportunity vote on a pretty arbitrary wagon.

This isn't very strong reasoning, but I am trigger happy, and would prefer to build up pressure on people other than ghug, so:

##vote JustAGuyNamedWill

Just like my vote on spirit, i'm ready to move off once a defense arrives



I don't exactly get why we should do this after having already claimed, but I can't see it being bad for town. I am not third party.



why not paired with worcej?
worcej wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:27 am
Or me?
It is an amazing coincidence that these posts were 14 seconds apart considering it was over an hour after DiplomacyandWarfare's post. It seems like a good indication that miminena and worcej are on the same team. I calculate that they are about 6 times more likely to both be town than mafia (by random chance).
3/16 * 2/16 = 0.0234
12/16 * 11/16 = 0.5156

your calculation seems a bit off. theyre closer to 22 times more likely to both be town than to both be mafia. Or 18 times if youre accounting from a pov that is town.
This is wrong

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#585 Post by miminena » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:35 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 5:31 am
miminena wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:50 am
BunnyGo wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:36 am
HI MIMI!!

I'm Bunny!
hihi~
Can I call you Mimi?!
oh, yes, I honestly prefer it over miminena, it feels too formal to be called by my full username :p
Tell me about yourself, please.
what is there to say? i'm just a girl who likes playing 20Q and Diplomacy sometimes :3
Have you played this game before? I have! Badly! But enthusiastically!
sort of? I've played mafia with friends in person many times, and I've spectated games of mafia on other forums that I frequent, but this is my first time playing mafia on a forum.

anyways, now that formalities are done, could you elaborate on your vote on D&W? They fall almost perfectly null for me, so i'm curious on your reasoning.
It's miminena like menomena (do doo do do do)?
not originally but now it is :3
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 4:58 am
DiplomacyandWarfare wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:24 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu Feb 06, 2025 11:03 pm
I am a supporter of worcej's plan to arbitrarily eliminate ghug.

##VOTE ghug
bozo is paired with will for pinning this wagon on ghug
or possibly paired with me :(
You started the wagon, why are we "pinning" it on him?
Maybe they mean pinning as in cementing it as a wagon? idk
BunnyGo wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:36 am
Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:33 am
is the bot offline?
Sort of. The landing page to use search function and change game is down.

Our orange GM gave the link to skip it for this game on page 1.
Is it? It's worked for me this entire game. https://mafia.peterlund.se/e/web/front_page is the link I'm using
Quoth the Penguin, "Noot Noot"

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#586 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:36 am

damo666 wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:32 am
Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:29 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 5:40 am





It is an amazing coincidence that these posts were 14 seconds apart considering it was over an hour after DiplomacyandWarfare's post. It seems like a good indication that miminena and worcej are on the same team. I calculate that they are about 6 times more likely to both be town than mafia (by random chance).
3/16 * 2/16 = 0.0234
12/16 * 11/16 = 0.5156

your calculation seems a bit off. theyre closer to 22 times more likely to both be town than to both be mafia. Or 18 times if youre accounting from a pov that is town.
This is wrong
But not meaningfully. And by the same factor. So the ratios are the same. And I don’t see a scum/town/3P mindset for the error.
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#587 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:37 am

kingofthepirates wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:50 am
ghug wrote:
Thu Feb 06, 2025 11:42 pm
I'm not sure we should do the third party thing, as it gives the other two factions a pathway and incentive for cooperation.
why do we even care abt the third party thing?? isn't just saying "I am town" objectively better from town pov (assuming we have a town lie detector who isn't tampered with, it'll give us more information, with either a town clear or a confirmed non-town (town enemy) person)?
It's a request for an additional statement. Ask yourself who wouldn't want to say it.

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#588 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:39 am

miminena wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:35 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 5:31 am
miminena wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:50 am

hihi~


oh, yes, I honestly prefer it over miminena, it feels too formal to be called by my full username :p


what is there to say? i'm just a girl who likes playing 20Q and Diplomacy sometimes :3


sort of? I've played mafia with friends in person many times, and I've spectated games of mafia on other forums that I frequent, but this is my first time playing mafia on a forum.

anyways, now that formalities are done, could you elaborate on your vote on D&W? They fall almost perfectly null for me, so i'm curious on your reasoning.
It's miminena like menomena (do doo do do do)?
not originally but now it is :3
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 4:58 am
DiplomacyandWarfare wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:24 am


bozo is paired with will for pinning this wagon on ghug
or possibly paired with me :(
You started the wagon, why are we "pinning" it on him?
Maybe they mean pinning as in cementing it as a wagon? idk
BunnyGo wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 10:36 am
Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:33 am
is the bot offline?
Sort of. The landing page to use search function and change game is down.

Our orange GM gave the link to skip it for this game on page 1.
Is it? It's worked for me this entire game. https://mafia.peterlund.se/e/web/front_page is the link I'm using
THANK YOU!!
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#589 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:42 am

BunnyGo wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:36 am
damo666 wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:32 am
Vecna wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:29 am


3/16 * 2/16 = 0.0234
12/16 * 11/16 = 0.5156

your calculation seems a bit off. theyre closer to 22 times more likely to both be town than to both be mafia. Or 18 times if youre accounting from a pov that is town.
This is wrong
But not meaningfully. And by the same factor. So the ratios are the same. And I don’t see a scum/town/3P mindset for the error.
My post was based on seeing repeated denominators. I didn't examine it any further. Can't resist doing it now. Thanks Bunny.


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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#591 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:53 am

From an outside pov it is 71.5


Town 14C4
Scum 14C1

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#592 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:55 am

From a tpov it is 22

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#593 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:57 am

damo666 wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:55 am
From a tpov it is 22
Or 3p pov

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#594 Post by dargorygel » Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:57 am

##GM VOTE COUNT


ghug (4): DiplomacyandWarfare, worcej,JustAGuyNamedWill, bozotheclown
ND (3): ghug, Red Neurax, ND
JustaGuyNamedWill (2): Vecna,miminena
worcej (2): damo666,foodcoats
SpiritoftheRadio (1): brainbomb
Red Neurax (1): kingofthepirates
foodcoats (1): SpiritoftheRadio
DiplomacyandWarfare (1): BunnyGo
Unvote (1): DemonRHK

DemonRHK lacks a valid vote.
One End Vote: ghug voting end for ND
ghug is presently in the lead of the most-suspected-tally.

Around eleven hours left in this day.

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#595 Post by damo666 » Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:00 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 5:40 am
miminena wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:27 am
JustAGuyNamedWill wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:03 am
I dont like how people piledon ghug
hmm... Will has been a bit weird about ghug throughout the day imo; they went from a slight read, to emphatically voting them, to feeling iffy about the wagon with little in-between. Not sure if this means anything, but it feels like an opportunity vote on a pretty arbitrary wagon.

This isn't very strong reasoning, but I am trigger happy, and would prefer to build up pressure on people other than ghug, so:

##vote JustAGuyNamedWill

Just like my vote on spirit, i'm ready to move off once a defense arrives
damo666 wrote:
Thu Feb 06, 2025 11:23 pm
I am not third party.

How about we all say this?
I don't exactly get why we should do this after having already claimed, but I can't see it being bad for town. I am not third party.
DiplomacyandWarfare wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:24 am


bozo is paired with will for pinning this wagon on ghug
or possibly paired with me :(
why not paired with worcej?
worcej wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:27 am
DiplomacyandWarfare wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:24 am


bozo is paired with will for pinning this wagon on ghug
or possibly paired with me :(
Or me?
It is an amazing coincidence that these posts were 14 seconds apart considering it was over an hour after DiplomacyandWarfare's post. It seems like a good indication that miminena and worcej are on the same team. I calculate that they are about 6 times more likely to both be town than mafia (by random chance).
Show your working

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#596 Post by DiplomacyandWarfare » Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:48 pm

why is ND self voting
##VOTE red neurax
for lurking
Pronouns: he/him

"Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock."
-Will Rogers

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#597 Post by kingofthepirates » Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:50 pm

damo666 wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:37 am
kingofthepirates wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:50 am
ghug wrote:
Thu Feb 06, 2025 11:42 pm
I'm not sure we should do the third party thing, as it gives the other two factions a pathway and incentive for cooperation.
why do we even care abt the third party thing?? isn't just saying "I am town" objectively better from town pov (assuming we have a town lie detector who isn't tampered with, it'll give us more information, with either a town clear or a confirmed non-town (town enemy) person)?
It's a request for an additional statement. Ask yourself who wouldn't want to say it.
I am not third party

Still think just saying town is stronger, but sure.
As astra per amorem

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#598 Post by DiplomacyandWarfare » Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:51 pm

You're probably wondering who I am
Good luck, to you, with such an endeavor
My tracks were covered in a manner adequate
And I am not yet ready to reveal myself
Pronouns: he/him

"Diplomacy is the art of saying 'Nice doggie' until you can find a rock."
-Will Rogers

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#599 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:58 pm

DiplomacyandWarfare wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:48 pm
why is ND self voting
##VOTE red neurax
for lurking
##end
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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Re: MAFIA 92 - The return of the Witchfinder General [GAME THREAD]

#600 Post by BunnyGo » Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:59 pm

DiplomacyandWarfare wrote:
Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:51 pm
You're probably wondering who I am
Good luck, to you, with such an endeavor
My tracks were covered in a manner adequate
And I am not yet ready to reveal myself


##unend
The moral of the boy who cried wolf? Never tell the same lie twice--Elim Garak

Take a minute of your day to be nice to someone, you dumb son of a bitch -- Iron Sheik

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