This framework really highlighted my need to go back and look closer, and Will was posting his result before KotP did any posts or claims and he was vested in following him. It comes off as eager town to have found someone and follow them.
BB's claim of a guilty is more dependent on him being shifty and crazy (which he can) but it's easy to manipulate and orchestrate too.
I think Will is more authentic here and BB is the liar now when you factor in the claim results and will's posts on D3.