Yes. I still think he flips scum either way. He's probably 75% chance the forger. Just thinking what's the next step if he isn't.
I'm just trying to figure out hypothicals OK.
Posting all my thoughts so you know what I'm thinking.
#4061 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:47 pm
Yes. I still think he flips scum either way. He's probably 75% chance the forger. Just thinking what's the next step if he isn't.
#4062 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:49 pm
#4063 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:54 pm
at this point if damo flips kalech mafia then id say you are more likely to be the forger than bozo.BesharamSabi wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:49 pmIs it bad to think about all the possibilities and outcomes?
#4064 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:55 pm
I'm not the forger but can you explain the reasoning for that?brainbomb wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:54 pmat this point if damo flips kalech mafia then id say you are more likely to be the forger than bozo.BesharamSabi wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:49 pmIs it bad to think about all the possibilities and outcomes?
#4065 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:56 pm
#4066 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:59 pm
probably because ghug ISO dialogue with you was odd and very hard to tell if he was protecting you or just was Blaise towards you in general. Bozo being forger would mean he and meme double bussed ghug day 2, and I see that as unlikely.BesharamSabi wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:55 pmI'm not the forger but can you explain the reasoning for that?brainbomb wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:54 pmat this point if damo flips kalech mafia then id say you are more likely to be the forger than bozo.BesharamSabi wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:49 pmIs it bad to think about all the possibilities and outcomes?
#4067 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:03 pm
Look at how ghug is in every game esp last game towards me. He's always Blaise towards me.brainbomb wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:59 pmprobably because ghug ISO dialogue with you was odd and very hard to tell if he was protecting you or just was Blaise towards you in general. Bozo being forger would mean he and meme double bussed ghug day 2, and I see that as unlikely.BesharamSabi wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 3:55 pmI'm not the forger but can you explain the reasoning for that?
#4068 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:04 pm
#4069 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:04 pm
#4070 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:20 pm
#4071 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:23 pm
#4072 Post by damo666 » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:31 pm
effortful dos not imply town (although bozo is)
#4073 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:32 pm
with 28 minutes to go damo isnt trying to save ghug or bus ghug . but why would bozo be trying to double bus ghug?Jamiet99uk wrote: ↑Sun Dec 19, 2021 10:32 pm=== MINISTRY of ADMINISTRATION ===
+++++ VOTE COUNT 2.8 +++++
Lfischl(4) - BesharamSabi, Tom Bombadil, Foxcastle, brainbomb
Ghug(3) - çâpţăïñmémè, bozotheclown, Lfischl
Macca573(3) - Fluminator, TheFlyingBoat, Squigs44
Tom Bombadil(2) - ghug, Macca573
Fluminator(2) - rdrivera2005, Snowy801
TheFlyingBoat(1) - Damo666
LFISCHL is now at the top of the list.
28 minutes remain in Day 2.
#4074 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:34 pm
damo makes less sense being kalech here with durga voting him and he voting flumJamiet99uk wrote: ↑Thu Dec 16, 2021 10:05 amAMENDED:
TheFlyingBoat(4) - brainbomb, Tom Bombadil, ghug, Flum
damo666(3) - Durga, Squigs44, TheFlyingBoat
Bonatogether(2) - BesharamSabi, lfischl
lfischl(2) - Bonatogether, bozotheclown
Fluminator(1) - Damo666
ghug(1) - kgray
Durga(1) - snowy801
No‑Kill(1) - captainmeme
#4075 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:36 pm
bozo vote on lfischl looks more like a tunnel than a nefarious plotJamiet99uk wrote: ↑Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:52 pm++ MINISTRY of ADMINISTRATION ++
+++ VOTE COUNT 1.8 +++
Captainmeme(5) - Rdrivera2005, Durga, kgray, Damo666, ghug
TheFlyingBoat(3) - Tom Bombadil, Fluminator, Squigs44
Lfischl(3) - Bonatogether, bozotheclown, Foxcastle
Bonatogether(2) - Lfischl, Brainbomb
damo666(1) - TheFlyingBoat
Squigs44(1) - Snowy801
Snowy801(1) - BesharamSabi
Tom Bombadil(1) - Macca573
No‑Kill(1) - Captainmeme
CaptainMeme is set to be redistributed.
5 hours and 7 minutes remain in Day 1
A fertile nation is a successful nation. All workers should maintain a healthy family.
Glory to Arstotzka.
#4076 Post by damo666 » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:37 pm
town is gonna lose and both scum are currently voting for me.
#4077 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:39 pm
it seems like damo would have to be voting with his entire team here to be the k mafia. not impossible but feels unnecessaryJamiet99uk wrote: ↑Thu Dec 16, 2021 9:45 pm++ MINISTRY of ADMINISTRATION ++
+++ VOTE COUNT 1.11 +++
Bonatogether(5) - Lfischl, Brainbomb, Damo666, Fluminator, Durga
Lfischl(3) - Bonatogether, bozotheclown, Foxcastle
Ghug(2) - Tom Bombadil, Kgray
Foxcastle(2) - Snowy801, Rdrivera2005
damo666(1) - Squigs44
TheFlyingBoat(1) - ghug
Snowy801(1) - BesharamSabi
Tom Bombadil(1) - Macca573
Fluminator(1) - TheFlyingBoat
No‑Kill(1) - Captainmeme
Bonatogether's name now at the top of the list.
1 hour at 15 minutes remain in Day 1.
The next labour lottery will take place on November 26th. All unassigned workers with at least one child will be entered.
#4078 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:40 pm
I do hate the whole looking at votes in iso and not in context thing.brainbomb wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:34 pmdamo makes less sense being kalech here with durga voting him and he voting flumJamiet99uk wrote: ↑Thu Dec 16, 2021 10:05 amAMENDED:
TheFlyingBoat(4) - brainbomb, Tom Bombadil, ghug, Flum
damo666(3) - Durga, Squigs44, TheFlyingBoat
Bonatogether(2) - BesharamSabi, lfischl
lfischl(2) - Bonatogether, bozotheclown
Fluminator(1) - Damo666
ghug(1) - kgray
Durga(1) - snowy801
No‑Kill(1) - captainmeme
the only scum in tfb is ghug and meme is on no kill so here the only teammate forger for ghug is sabi or bozo and it is indistinguishable which it would
be
#4079 Post by brainbomb » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:41 pm
#4080 Post by BesharamSabi » Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:41 pm
Once again looking at votes in iso and not in context is not good.brainbomb wrote: ↑Wed Dec 29, 2021 4:36 pmbozo vote on lfischl looks more like a tunnel than a nefarious plotJamiet99uk wrote: ↑Thu Dec 16, 2021 5:52 pm++ MINISTRY of ADMINISTRATION ++
+++ VOTE COUNT 1.8 +++
Captainmeme(5) - Rdrivera2005, Durga, kgray, Damo666, ghug
TheFlyingBoat(3) - Tom Bombadil, Fluminator, Squigs44
Lfischl(3) - Bonatogether, bozotheclown, Foxcastle
Bonatogether(2) - Lfischl, Brainbomb
damo666(1) - TheFlyingBoat
Squigs44(1) - Snowy801
Snowy801(1) - BesharamSabi
Tom Bombadil(1) - Macca573
No‑Kill(1) - Captainmeme
CaptainMeme is set to be redistributed.
5 hours and 7 minutes remain in Day 1
A fertile nation is a successful nation. All workers should maintain a healthy family.
Glory to Arstotzka.
whereas damo and ghug both voting meme seems absurdly unlikely to be double bussing for no reason
sabi on snowy just seems very odd
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