MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

[Temasek22]

Aww man. After we were doing so well...

RIP Kit, I'm out of words now.

Bionic and Kalel are definitely saved. Might have to vote for them tomorrow

[FlaviusAetius]

hah Squigs I see you there, hi Squigs, come back to join us in mafia

if you are Hyde feel free to put me out of my misery

i still hate his fake dude

[e.m.c^42]

Really, gang? Actually, I admit that I would have considered a Kit lynch, but I don't think I would have jumped on that wagon.
I'd be interested to analyze after this game is over how many times the wagon changes in the last hour and if that was beneficial for town or for maf...

Except in cases where players vote on someone scanned from the previous night or clearly outed scum, the vote almost always jumps around last minute. Whether it lands on scum or town goes both ways iirc, leaning towards town a little bit more than scum due to stats.

[FlaviusAetius]

you still shouldnt talk at night, and give mafia a chance to talk to each other BUT since I think Chaqa is moriarty, and he has no teammates, its on like donkey kong, I will be finishing the day 3 iso tonight, and day 4 iso and night 3 iso, you better believe it chaqa, YOU ARE GOING DOWN

[e.m.c^42]

hah Squigs I see you there, hi Squigs, come back to join us in mafia

if you are Hyde feel free to put me out of my misery

i still hate his fake dude

Lol I remember that

yeah hang around a bit if you've got the time, I'll finish up my draft response to your Chaqa iso

[ND]

What the literal fuck? Why didn't you morons vote for cmdr?

Maybe you should have been a better town clear or been here to make the case.

I've purposely not done so because it's not my job to scum hunt for 26 people or whatever. People need to make their own case. I'll let you know if I like it

[CmdrLikely]

Really, gang? Actually, I admit that I would have considered a Kit lynch, but I don't think I would have jumped on that wagon.
I'd be interested to analyze after this game is over how many times the wagon changes in the last hour and if that was beneficial for town or for maf...

Except in cases where players vote on someone scanned from the previous night or clearly outed scum, the vote almost always jumps around last minute. Whether it lands on scum or town goes both ways iirc, leaning towards town a little bit more than scum due to stats.

Hmmm isn't there a well known study about this behavior? Monty Hall problem or something?

[Tom Bombadil]

I find it interesting that people are saying that Bionic or Kalel was saved. Kalel never had any momentum whatsoever. Not sure how you draw that conclusion - Bionic was a leading wagon. Much more likely he was saved. If Bionic is scum, I think that highly implicated people pushing the narrative that someone besides Bionic was saved

[Tom Bombadil]

Hell, Chaqa might have had more momentum than Kale with Flav shouting on and on

[e.m.c^42]

Really, gang? Actually, I admit that I would have considered a Kit lynch, but I don't think I would have jumped on that wagon.
I'd be interested to analyze after this game is over how many times the wagon changes in the last hour and if that was beneficial for town or for maf...

Except in cases where players vote on someone scanned from the previous night or clearly outed scum, the vote almost always jumps around last minute. Whether it lands on scum or town goes both ways iirc, leaning towards town a little bit more than scum due to stats.

Hmmm isn't there a well known study about this behavior? Monty Hall problem or something?

I do not believe that is correctly applicable here, as the switching occurs regardless of scum or town win, and people are willing to switch rather than not.

[Tom Bombadil]

I like big wagon swings. It puts people on the spot, rather than allowing them time to craft narratives more carefully

[CmdrLikely]

Except in cases where players vote on someone scanned from the previous night or clearly outed scum, the vote almost always jumps around last minute. Whether it lands on scum or town goes both ways iirc, leaning towards town a little bit more than scum due to stats.

Hmmm isn't there a well known study about this behavior? Monty Hall problem or something?

I do not believe that is correctly applicable here, as the switching occurs regardless of scum or town win, and people are willing to switch rather than not.

From wikipedia:

even Nobel physicists systematically give the wrong answer, and that they insist on it, and they are ready to berate in print those who propose the right answer." Pigeons repeatedly exposed to the problem show that they rapidly learn to always switch, unlike humans

So in a sense, humans are worse than choosing compared to pigeons.

[FlaviusAetius]

What the literal fuck? Why didn't you morons vote for cmdr?

Maybe you should have been a better town clear or been here to make the case.

I've purposely not done so because it's not my job to scum hunt for 26 people or whatever. People need to make their own case. I'll let you know if I like it

I agree, but you werent even on to say if you liked my Chaqa case or not, if you were there I really think you could of flipped a lot of people ;(

[e.m.c^42]

Flav, I have a slight problem lol

How much of it is you copy/paste snazzing Chaqa for evidence, and how much is yours?

[FlaviusAetius]

I like big wagon swings. It puts people on the spot, rather than allowing them time to craft narratives more carefully

man if EoD was at 7 o'clock not 6 o'clock, I can gurantee you right now Chaqa would be dead

[e.m.c^42]

Actually I'll just rewrite your whole thing.

[Tom Bombadil]

I like big wagon swings. It puts people on the spot, rather than allowing them time to craft narratives more carefully

man if EoD was at 7 o'clock not 6 o'clock, I can gurantee you right now Chaqa would be dead

Chaqa will sort himself out.

[Chaqa]

Here’s the thing - Flavius even if you’re right (you’re not), I’ve loudly and repeatedly proclaimed I’m a female VT. I’m getting Jacked tonight.

Doesn’t matter.

[BionicMole]

I find it interesting that people are saying that Bionic or Kalel was saved. Kalel never had any momentum whatsoever. Not sure how you draw that conclusion - Bionic was a leading wagon. Much more likely he was saved. If Bionic is scum, I think that highly implicated people pushing the narrative that someone besides Bionic was saved

Hell, Chaqa might have had more momentum than Kale with Flav shouting on and on

This with 9 minutes 'till EOD: Mole 5, Kit 3

@Temasek - I'll swap over to Kitsune if you will to keep this off a tie.

This with 5 minutes left:

I need someone to switch to Kitsune and I will. This includes Bionic.

Interesting for someone that has said they should die for the good of the town about a dozen times.

[Tom Bombadil]

Scumbos. If you kill me, you don’t hit SK. I can track someone. If you don’t roleblock me, you have a chance I track SK. If you roleblock someone else, you could always find SK that way as well.