M73 - Fowl Play - Game Thread [HIDDEN]

[President Eden]

Very active for an hour out.

this too.

the worst part is there are two completely plausible and totally opposite arguments for why this is, with roughly equal predictive power, leading to opposite conclusions.

• mafia is caught and demotivated
• town is hanging all town and mafia dgaf

Given who is currently active what do you think?

probably the former but that feels too good to be true so I’m concerned

[brainbomb]

Kills happen for a reason
and a ghug-jamie maf team always kills snowy there always because they know that snowy can eventually take over a thread and summon a throng of followers. Snowy always gets it right eventually and ghug would want to get rid or snowy to stay ahead of inevitables

[ghug]

Come on guys let's make it a four-way tie.

[Chaqa]

this too.

the worst part is there are two completely plausible and totally opposite arguments for why this is, with roughly equal predictive power, leading to opposite conclusions.

• mafia is caught and demotivated
• town is hanging all town and mafia dgaf

Or 1-2 mafia are on the block and mafia are actively attempting to make sure the best result for them happens

playing UNO skip card on FTB’s question and then UNO reversing it on you. where do you see this happening and who are the main actors in it?

That’s a way too I’m depth question for me to research and answer while I’m working, but it doesn’t really matter since I think all three wagons have merit.

[brainbomb]

there is a whole other camp of possible scum players who just know snowy is elite as town

[ghug]

Kills happen for a reason
and a ghug-jamie maf team always kills snowy there always because they know that snowy can eventually take over a thread and summon a throng of followers. Snowy always gets it right eventually and ghug would want to get rid or snowy to stay ahead of inevitables

I'm the last person who left snowy alive. You cannot paint snowy's death as implicating me more than anyone else.

[brainbomb]

and if you are that camp you may as well murk snowy when his reads are off so it generates miskills

[brainbomb]

Kills happen for a reason
and a ghug-jamie maf team always kills snowy there always because they know that snowy can eventually take over a thread and summon a throng of followers. Snowy always gets it right eventually and ghug would want to get rid or snowy to stay ahead of inevitables

I'm the last person who left snowy alive. You cannot paint snowy's death as implicating me more than anyone else.

no but youd certainly take what the board is giving you in that situation

[ghug]

Kills happen for a reason
and a ghug-jamie maf team always kills snowy there always because they know that snowy can eventually take over a thread and summon a throng of followers. Snowy always gets it right eventually and ghug would want to get rid or snowy to stay ahead of inevitables

I'm the last person who left snowy alive. You cannot paint snowy's death as implicating me more than anyone else.

no but youd certainly take what the board is giving you in that situation

Sure. Snowy's a perfectly plausible kill for a scum ghug.

[brainbomb]

I'm the last person who left snowy alive. You cannot paint snowy's death as implicating me more than anyone else.

no but youd certainly take what the board is giving you in that situation

Sure. Snowy's a perfectly plausible kill for a scum ghug.

and for Jamie as well. Jamie wouldnt kill weak players either

[ghug]

no but youd certainly take what the board is giving you in that situation

Sure. Snowy's a perfectly plausible kill for a scum ghug.

and for Jamie as well. Jamie wouldnt kill weak players either

And for pretty much everyone else in the game.

[brainbomb]

I have posted more than I desire to this phase so I will hush with my unhelpful theories for now.

Celaph is a good kill today

[brainbomb]

Sure. Snowy's a perfectly plausible kill for a scum ghug.

and for Jamie as well. Jamie wouldnt kill weak players either

And for pretty much everyone else in the game.

hard disagree. newer players might pr hunt or be confused about who is the better players.

[Chaqa]

I could see scum!Sabi killing snowy due to not liking his playstyle

The only people I'm pretty sure wouldn't kill Snowy are myself and Eden, due to Snowy often gettign N1'd

[ghug]

I have posted more than I desire to this phase so I will hush with my unhelpful theories for now.

Celaph is a good kill today

Can you remind me when you came around from "I don't want to kill celaph but it's inevitable" to this position?

[ghug]

I could see scum!Sabi killing snowy due to not liking his playstyle

The only people I'm pretty sure wouldn't kill Snowy are myself and Eden, due to Snowy often gettign N1'd

That's some BFT-ass logic.

[Bonatogether]

I see that Chaqa has gone ahead an analyzed his D1 bait case as requested. I rescind my past comments calling for such a post.

Why would you rescind your calls when it's a legitimate ask? Strange.

[BusinessLamp]

do you believe chaqa is scum ghugert

on a ctrl f of you it doesn't seem like you've elaborated on this much

[Bonatogether]

Regarding TFB:
I get the feeling that he is using activity as a metric that he can comfortably discuss reads around without being forced to construct a full read around. It formed the basis for a significant portion of D1 scumreads of Kak and myself. And it feels like he keeps coming back to it to justify his scumreads on people. He sussed my inactivity N1, and again when he voted me SoD2, and again in response to Eden's comment on night solving. Most recently, he called Blamp and Bozo for disappearing at SoN1 as scummy.

I also think that he is a good candidate for being saved D1, though I'm less convinced than some that someone was saved.

##vote TFB

[Chaqa]

do you believe chaqa is scum ghugert

on a ctrl f of you it doesn't seem like you've elaborated on this much

It's pretty irrelevant as ghug is scum.