M68: Guns N' Roses GAMETHREAD [hidden]

[worcej]

Please expand on why you think this.

Because I am town and I am fairly sure JBH is town based off gun math alone. I can see JBH dying here because of that claim and the chance to get him miskilled has been eliminated due to the Chaqa flip.

What claim?

You being shot.

[worcej]

@worcej what do you make of my analysis?

I don't think it's bad if you're town, but I'm starting to grow concerned with the actions surrounding you (as I stated in my analysis)

[ghug]

My reads in case I do die:

JBH - unchanged, still think he is town who took the 3rd bullet from the third scum gun. I've discussed him a lot already, so no need to repeat it all.

Damo - I questioned his hard push on JBH with Jamie on D3 and now knowing Chaqa was scum, there is a connection now in that Chaqa's move when the vote was all tied onto HB could've been the move to save a scum!damo partner. Also, via VCA, damo never pushed Chaqa nor probed him until D4. He also tried to get people to move to EMC over Chaqa... That all being said, his posting lately seems in line with town and I am getting those vibes (unless he is trying to pocket me...) but the circumstances around him point to possible pairings.

ghug - Similar to damo, there was a lot of distancing from Chaqa and never voted him until the last minute. He also came off hard with a sense of vocalized concern regarding the game ending, but did eventually vote him to ensure no last-minute shenanigans. I sense this would be in his bussing potential and not much of a stretch to pull off.

rdr - My reads are very in line with the same thinking he has, which is leading me to town him. He isn't piggybacking off my reads either (we each post something first then the other agrees) so I don't sense him pocketing me in any way.

Brain/Celaph - Brain's contribution led me to town him and celaph continues to also do the same, though with limited posting. The questioning and poke backs that he is doing at numerous people is what I expect from town!celaph trying to figure things out.

EMC - I haven't sensed any large amount of engagement or even concern about the gamestate, however this isn't AI with him based on meta... I am now stuck at the point of needing to assess scum teams that could include him, which is pretty much anyone other than my town reads. I wish we would've flipped him earlier...

TL;DR - I town JBH, rdr, and celaph, and the scum are amongst damo, ghug, and emc.

Man, I hope they do kill you...

[e.m.c^42]

Pretty sure there's minuscule to no chance of dying on my part, but I have one obvious read :P

[Vecna]

HALT

ITS DYING TIME

[Vecna]

The lights switch off. The sound of a gun going off.

You all find a single corpse once the lights turn on again.

Official game information:

A single shot was fired

Celaph has died. They were officier Pilaf, of the TOWN

They held a N2 rose

Day 5 has now started, and will end in 48 hours.

You may continue posting.

[damo666]

Oh. Time to rethink.

[e.m.c^42]

rip braincel. Gonna sit on ##vote ghug

[ghug]

Oh really?

I really thought they'd kill damo to give them the numbers on me.

[ghug]

rip braincel. Gonna sit on ##vote ghug

Ok, I think you're town, and you've gotta get out of this tunnel ASAP or we'll lose.

[ghug]

You had a plausible explanation for scumghug's behavior yesterday with a town Chaqa. What's your explanation for my behavior yesterday with the knowledge Chaqa was scum?

(This question is not for worcej, who has made his opinion on the matter clear.)

[damo666]

Very crafty scumplay going on.

Worcej is back in play.

Still assuming JBH town.

[damo666]

##vote emc

[ghug]

##vote emc

Who's the partner?

[damo666]

##vote emc

Who's the partner?

You?

[damo666]

@thug before you said you couldn't see an rdr worcej scumpair. Why?

[damo666]

@thug before you said you couldn't see an rdr worcej scumpair. Why?

@ghug

Sorry.

Bloody phone.

[damo666]

##unvote


Gotta start afresh.

[damo666]

eg gw or rw

@JBH who do you think is more likely to he scum out of ghug and worcej?

[ghug]

@thug before you said you couldn't see an rdr worcej scumpair. Why?

They reacted identically to the end of day 3 in a way that I don't think scum would do without trying to create a little more distance. I can find quotes later if you remind me.