I may be a sociopath, but I'm Town's sociopath.

#2201 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:40 pm
I may be a sociopath, but I'm Town's sociopath.
#2202 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:44 pm
No it's not. Even if Food were a Cop. And even if the False scan revealed to Food that Vecna is likely Scum (that's pretty unlikely, and would only be true for a couple of Cop types, but even in that scenario), it probably is not the right move to vote Vecna all day because our Cops want to stay hidden.damo666 wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:37 pmOK but people should be more careful.Balki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:23 pm@Damo, let's please not make Daykill choices based on the Hypo claims. Please ignore the Hypo Claims for now.
Here are some reasons:
- Most of the Hypo Claims are fake. They are hypotheticals from non-cops.
- Some of the Hypo Claims are from the bad guys. They are meant to mislead, and they have an easy alibi for being confusing (they are supposed to be random!)
- Even the handful that come from actual cops may be fake or unintelligible. The Addictive, Naive, and Macho Cops do not know what kind of Cops they are. The Parity Cop gave us a fake result. The PA Angel would have had a pretty easy job last night because many of the Hypo Cop targets were announced early enough to tell the PA Angel where to go.
- The Method Cop was purposefully altered to give backwards hypo scans so that the results are unintelligible.
- If we actually got an actionable scan from a Cop last night, it's in the thread, and we will be able to use it eventually (after that Cop hard claims or flips).
For example food declared a FALSE on Vecna and voted for him in the same post. He then moved off which is tantamount to soft claiming not cop. If food isn't vt, doc or scum I'd be very surprised. So even assuming the minimum of 3 cops this gives a food a minimum chance of being scum 7/15 and from a vt pov 1/2, cop pov > 1/2, angel pov, 3/15, judge pov 4/15.
##vote food
#2203 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:45 pm
#2204 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:47 pm
Saying you have a FALSE on Vecna and then hard voting vecna the whole day basically dooms you to be outed and roleblocked for the rest of the gamedamo666 wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:37 pmOK but people should be more careful.Balki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:23 pm@Damo, let's please not make Daykill choices based on the Hypo claims. Please ignore the Hypo Claims for now.
Here are some reasons:
- Most of the Hypo Claims are fake. They are hypotheticals from non-cops.
- Some of the Hypo Claims are from the bad guys. They are meant to mislead, and they have an easy alibi for being confusing (they are supposed to be random!)
- Even the handful that come from actual cops may be fake or unintelligible. The Addictive, Naive, and Macho Cops do not know what kind of Cops they are. The Parity Cop gave us a fake result. The PA Angel would have had a pretty easy job last night because many of the Hypo Cop targets were announced early enough to tell the PA Angel where to go.
- The Method Cop was purposefully altered to give backwards hypo scans so that the results are unintelligible.
- If we actually got an actionable scan from a Cop last night, it's in the thread, and we will be able to use it eventually (after that Cop hard claims or flips).
For example food declared a FALSE on Vecna and voted for him in the same post. He then moved off which is tantamount to soft claiming not cop. If food isn't vt, doc or scum I'd be very surprised. So even assuming the minimum of 3 cops this gives a food a minimum chance of being scum 7/15 and from a vt pov 1/2, cop pov > 1/2, angel pov, 3/15, judge pov 4/15.
##vote food
#2205 Post by ghug » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:53 pm
TLDR on why you think sweet is towny? He's one of my stronger scumreads, and I've read the gameChaqa wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 3:07 pmTLDR on why you think Sweet is scummy? He's one of my stronger townreadsBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 3:07 pmI am boarding a plane, skimming over the thread. I feel like I just don’t have a lot to say. I’d still very much like to see Sweetie or Damo flip. I find myself reading Kakarroto and Food as likely Town. Captain Sparrow likely Town. Kind of suspicious of ghug for trying to test the waters on a D1 Balki kill.
I just haven’t learned much since yesterday. I could use another flip or two!
#2206 Post by brainbomb » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:54 pm
#2207 Post by sweetandcool » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:55 pm
Huh, that feels wrong but maybe it is right.
#2208 Post by ghug » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:55 pm
No no no no nodamo666 wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 4:06 pmThere are three players who reported a false result but are not voting for their alleged target. I purport that this makes them statistically more likely to be scum than other players.
These are
food
Will
sweet
I am willing to vote any of these.
Kotp is voting rdr on whom he claimed FALSE but he also so claimed RB so this is nonsense.
Sweet reported False on Brain after Vecna and Balki had already reported TRUE (which I also subsequently reported). I'm not really sure what to make of this. If he were scum wouldn't he mimic the other two?
So I am left with food and Will. Will already has a vote so I'll go there.
##vote Just
#2209 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:56 pm
M i disagree
#2210 Post by brainbomb » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:57 pm
#2211 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:58 pm
Well, we want to trust our Cops to do their thing, but they ought to consider that their scan is already in the thread, and we'll be able to take advantage of it later in the game too. I should think it would be best to keep quiet, and get more scans into the thread. One of the main advantages of the Hypo Scans is that our Cops don't have to come forward. We can interpret their scans later and they keep putting more scans in the thread.
#2212 Post by brainbomb » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:58 pm
#2213 Post by brainbomb » Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:59 pm
theres a cop that only catches judges though. and its zero threat to angels at all. if they existed and caught a judge, this logic makes no sense. theres only 2 other judges they could even catch and one would kill that person upon visiting most likelyBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:58 pmWell, we want to trust our Cops to do their thing, but they ought to consider that their scan is already in the thread, and we'll be able to take advantage of it later in the game too. I should think it would be best to keep quiet, and get more scans into the thread. One of the main advantages of the Hypo Scans is that our Cops don't have to come forward. We can interpret their scans later and they keep putting more scans in the thread.
We have to catch 7! bad guys!!! We are going to want all the scan results we can get.
#2214 Post by JustAGuyNamedWill » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:00 pm
Because the cop at any time later can choose to reveal if they so desire, catching the scum (not judge 100% btw) and if they die we can use their scan that they hypo’ed to determine it anyway
#2215 Post by ghug » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:00 pm
Dark mode erases post newness. I'm normally a fan but my understanding is that bo_sox wrote it, and it shows, so not here.Chaqa wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:04 pmIllegible blueBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 4:45 pm* * * Balki Note: Everyone please read the rules again. If you have questions, ask them here.
Nobody put any stock at all into any of the hypo claims. They are purposefully ambiguous. They tell you nothing. Completely disregard them until we have Cop flips or Cop hard claims. Cheers. * * *
#2216 Post by snowy801 » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:01 pm
To be fair chances are some of them get evaporated by each otherBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:58 pmWell, we want to trust our Cops to do their thing, but they ought to consider that their scan is already in the thread, and we'll be able to take advantage of it later in the game too. I should think it would be best to keep quiet, and get more scans into the thread. One of the main advantages of the Hypo Scans is that our Cops don't have to come forward. We can interpret their scans later and they keep putting more scans in the thread.
We have to catch 7! bad guys!!! We are going to want all the scan results we can get.
#2217 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:04 pm
Yeah, but said Cop likely has a caught Scum. Let's allow said Judge run around and make choices (and others make choices with respect to that slot). I wouldn't think we'd want to kill that person now.brainbomb wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:59 pmtheres a cop that only catches judges though. and its zero threat to angels at all. if they existed and caught a judge, this logic makes no sense. theres only 2 other judges they could even catch and one would kill that person upon visiting most likelyBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:58 pmWell, we want to trust our Cops to do their thing, but they ought to consider that their scan is already in the thread, and we'll be able to take advantage of it later in the game too. I should think it would be best to keep quiet, and get more scans into the thread. One of the main advantages of the Hypo Scans is that our Cops don't have to come forward. We can interpret their scans later and they keep putting more scans in the thread.
We have to catch 7! bad guys!!! We are going to want all the scan results we can get.
#2218 Post by Balki Bartokomous » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:07 pm
I think we've hashed out the pros and cons. We can agree to disagree on the strategy of it. In the end, we have to trust our PR to make a good decision with the info they have.
#2219 Post by sweetandcool » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:07 pm
It erased post newness? What do you mean?ghug wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:00 pmDark mode erases post newness. I'm normally a fan but my understanding is that bo_sox wrote it, and it shows, so not here.Chaqa wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 5:04 pmIllegible blueBalki Bartokomous wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 4:45 pm* * * Balki Note: Everyone please read the rules again. If you have questions, ask them here.
Nobody put any stock at all into any of the hypo claims. They are purposefully ambiguous. They tell you nothing. Completely disregard them until we have Cop flips or Cop hard claims. Cheers. * * *
#2220 Post by damo666 » Fri Apr 05, 2024 6:07 pm
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