You said I'd never explained my shifting read. I did explain my shifting read. What else looks bad about the team beyond your inexplicable scumread on me?BobMcBob wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 2:17 amthe townslip is basically the only thing keeping this team from being particularly likely
everything else is not great at all
Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
scumteam scanning
episode 3
ghug/maniac
ghug starts off with a strong townread on maniac which quickly flipped down to scum due to maniac not being crazy enough
then his read sat there for the whole game, never evolving past "maniac isnt crazy enough to be town"
he seemed like he was setting up to push maniac today but when the time came he inexplicably switched to a chaqa vote
maniac heavily defends ghug on d2 and pushes for a chaqa kill instead
then begins scumreading him more on n2 and remains scumreading him up until now
this behaviour doesnt scream scum to me but it also doesnt make me think theyre not scum together
this progression is entirely plausible from 2 scum but doesnt make it particularly more likely
episode 3
ghug/maniac
ghug starts off with a strong townread on maniac which quickly flipped down to scum due to maniac not being crazy enough
then his read sat there for the whole game, never evolving past "maniac isnt crazy enough to be town"
he seemed like he was setting up to push maniac today but when the time came he inexplicably switched to a chaqa vote
maniac heavily defends ghug on d2 and pushes for a chaqa kill instead
then begins scumreading him more on n2 and remains scumreading him up until now
this behaviour doesnt scream scum to me but it also doesnt make me think theyre not scum together
this progression is entirely plausible from 2 scum but doesnt make it particularly more likely
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
i meant you never explained the shift before the townslip, which you didntghug wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 2:24 amYou said I'd never explained my shifting read. I did explain my shifting read. What else looks bad about the team beyond your inexplicable scumread on me?
the whole thing about you two constantly scumreading each other immediately stuck out as odd to me
partially it was gut reaction but im trying to separate these from directly "oh this person is scummy therefore this scumteam is more likely"
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
I developed stronger scumreads. I posted that list I gave shortly after the post you quoted because he'd dropped all the way down to fourth because of those scumreads. He wasn't top town until the townslip. That's a perfectly natural progression.BobMcBob wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 2:45 ami meant you never explained the shift before the townslip, which you didnt
the whole thing about you two constantly scumreading each other immediately stuck out as odd to me
partially it was gut reaction but im trying to separate these from directly "oh this person is scummy therefore this scumteam is more likely"
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
RIP Kak
I’m probably going to be doing a lot more reading than typing today.
As things stand I’m looking at discounting rdriveria altogether. If this is his scum game I don’t want to play with them again. It’s just too good.
I don’t understand chaqa saying stuff like ‘how can anyone think I’m scum’ were down to five players chaqa, you’re still in the mix. That said chaqa is looking more town to me yesterday and last night.
Take out Bob’s first day vote and he’s skated by being town side of null but he’s still here and has to be considered. I didn’t finish my reread of him and that’s my priority.
Ghug is looking the most likely. I think his forgetting about G/F is fake and I think he is only scum reading me now to keep the possibility of a miskill alive.
With regards pairs once I discount rdriveria I’m left with Bob/chaqa, Bob/Ghug and chaqa/Ghug. The last one seems the most unlikely and I’d almost discount it. Again sorry Vecna.
So I’m left with Bob/ghug >>>>>>Bob/chaqa. As Bob is the common denominator I’m good with ##vote Bob
I’m probably going to be doing a lot more reading than typing today.
As things stand I’m looking at discounting rdriveria altogether. If this is his scum game I don’t want to play with them again. It’s just too good.
I don’t understand chaqa saying stuff like ‘how can anyone think I’m scum’ were down to five players chaqa, you’re still in the mix. That said chaqa is looking more town to me yesterday and last night.
Take out Bob’s first day vote and he’s skated by being town side of null but he’s still here and has to be considered. I didn’t finish my reread of him and that’s my priority.
Ghug is looking the most likely. I think his forgetting about G/F is fake and I think he is only scum reading me now to keep the possibility of a miskill alive.
With regards pairs once I discount rdriveria I’m left with Bob/chaqa, Bob/Ghug and chaqa/Ghug. The last one seems the most unlikely and I’d almost discount it. Again sorry Vecna.
So I’m left with Bob/ghug >>>>>>Bob/chaqa. As Bob is the common denominator I’m good with ##vote Bob
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
Maniac, you believed a ghug/Chaqa team was possible before. What changed?
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
I think it’s still possible now. I think I’m inclined to think it’s less likely because my read on chaqa has changed.
If you want to convince me that it is you and chaqa, knock yourself out.
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
oh dear i didnt realise quite how impossible it would be to do the comparisons on mobile
was planning to take a look at maniac/chaqa (which is a theory that has been thrown around already) but ill have to do it tomorrow instead
was planning to take a look at maniac/chaqa (which is a theory that has been thrown around already) but ill have to do it tomorrow instead
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
im really worried that the day is just gonna end in scum pushing me over the edge as a super easy kill
and theyll probably get away with it too at this rate
and theyll probably get away with it too at this rate
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
Maybe it is Rivera?
Idk. The Kak kill is weird, I feel like Rivera was really the most widely townread and should have been the kill.
Idk. The Kak kill is weird, I feel like Rivera was really the most widely townread and should have been the kill.
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
i mean the slip is the main thing keeping him above bar
its a pretty damn good look, but if he faked it (which is plausible) hes just completely bamboozled us with one post
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
The problem is, there’s two mafia left, so two people are separately having really good scum games and being townread by at least few of us.
Hmmm
Hmmm
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
I think the problem is that doc and cop got stopped so early without giving us any info. The chances of scum hitting both N1 was 1:72. We’re having to respond to that reality. Looking back the only bit of good luck we’ve had maybe three Bob fell asleep whilst voting or Ifischl. On the plus side there isn’t much more of this torture left. Two good educated guesses and we can still win this.
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
I want to vote out Rivera or Bob or Maniac.
Roughly in that order
Roughly in that order
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
Ultimately, scum usually does well when one of their own is caught on day one.
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
I was expecting Maniac to be the NK, he was the most townread and had also the RB.
Explain why you think I would choose to kill Kak considering he was consistently townreading me and offering to sheep me (or Maniac)?
This looks like you tryng to fabricate something to justify a scum read on me.
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
How is Maniac the most widely townread! Ghug outright scumreads him and I have had him mostly in my PoE.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 6:23 pmI was expecting Maniac to be the NK, he was the most townread and had also the RB.
Explain why you think I would choose to kill Kak considering he was consistently townreading me and offering to sheep me (or Maniac)?
This looks like you tryng to fabricate something to justify a scum read on me.
Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
rd doesn't respect my opinions.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 6:59 pmHow is Maniac the most widely townread! Ghug outright scumreads him and I have had him mostly in my PoE.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 6:23 pmI was expecting Maniac to be the NK, he was the most townread and had also the RB.
Explain why you think I would choose to kill Kak considering he was consistently townreading me and offering to sheep me (or Maniac)?
This looks like you tryng to fabricate something to justify a scum read on me.
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Re: Mini Mafia 1018 - Race with the Devil [hidden]
Your POE puts him in 3rd of 4 people, not exactly a scumread. He was top townread of both me and Kak and Bob was also townreading him. And Ghug was scumreading him last night but isn't voting him.Chaqa wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 6:59 pmHow is Maniac the most widely townread! Ghug outright scumreads him and I have had him mostly in my PoE.rdrivera2005 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 02, 2021 6:23 pmI was expecting Maniac to be the NK, he was the most townread and had also the RB.
Explain why you think I would choose to kill Kak considering he was consistently townreading me and offering to sheep me (or Maniac)?
This looks like you tryng to fabricate something to justify a scum read on me.
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