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Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:33 pm
by Jamiet99uk
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:26 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:22 pm
@LordQuas:

That is actually the most plausible explanation I have read, as to why I am somehow still alive.

##VOTE DAMO666
why did you vote damo after that then >.>
I buy your argument that Fox could be SK.
I believe the general view is that we don't lynch SK until tomorrow.
So, I vote for my top scumread.
If it's not Fox then it's Damo.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:34 pm
by LordQuas
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:33 pm
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:26 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:22 pm
@LordQuas:

That is actually the most plausible explanation I have read, as to why I am somehow still alive.

##VOTE DAMO666
why did you vote damo after that then >.>
I buy your argument that Fox could be SK.
I believe the general view is that we don't lynch SK until tomorrow.
So, I vote for my top scumread.
If it's not Fox then it's Damo.
did you see my proposal about No Lynching?

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:40 pm
by brainbomb
Vote Count Day 4.3

damo666 (3) Nephthys Foxcastle Jamiet99uk
LordQuas (3) worcej damo666 DemonRHK
No‑Lynch (1) LordQuas
Foxcastle (1) bozotheclown

End-votes (0/5)

Non-votes
Durga

27 hours remain
No one is scheduled to die

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:41 pm
by Jamiet99uk
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:34 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:33 pm
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:26 pm


why did you vote damo after that then >.>
I buy your argument that Fox could be SK.
I believe the general view is that we don't lynch SK until tomorrow.
So, I vote for my top scumread.
If it's not Fox then it's Damo.
did you see my proposal about No Lynching?
I saw it.

I am not sure about it.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:06 pm
by LordQuas
##Call GM Worce voted no lynch in his last post it just didn't register with da bot

http://webdiplomacy.net/contrib/phpBB3/ ... 715#p53715

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:06 pm
by LordQuas
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:41 pm
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:34 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:33 pm


I buy your argument that Fox could be SK.
I believe the general view is that we don't lynch SK until tomorrow.
So, I vote for my top scumread.
If it's not Fox then it's Damo.
did you see my proposal about No Lynching?
I saw it.

I am not sure about it.
in what way?

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:16 pm
by Jamiet99uk
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:06 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:41 pm
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:34 pm


did you see my proposal about No Lynching?
I saw it.

I am not sure about it.
in what way?
In the way that I feel strongly Damo is scum and I would like to lynch him. I note your argument. I need a think. There is time.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:25 pm
by LordQuas
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:16 pm
LordQuas wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:06 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:41 pm


I saw it.

I am not sure about it.
in what way?
In the way that I feel strongly Damo is scum and I would like to lynch him. I note your argument. I need a think. There is time.
ok sounds good to me

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:29 pm
by LordQuas
ok I'm gonna be watching an hour long documentary part one on islam so farewell

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:03 pm
by Nephthys
##No-lynch.

I think this is wise.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:13 pm
by worcej
Nephthys wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:03 pm
##No-lynch.

I think this is wise.
In the off chance my vote wasn't registered, I'll do it again.

##No-lynch

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:26 pm
by Jamiet99uk
Uh, Netflix? Uh, Worcej?

You have to use the word "Vote" or it's not a valid vote.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:27 pm
by LordQuas
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:26 pm
Uh, Netflix? Uh, Worcej?

You have to use the word "Vote" or it's not a valid vote.
looool apparently none of us can vote correctly

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:27 pm
by Jamiet99uk
As in:

$$Vote No-lynch.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:29 pm
by worcej
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:16 pm
In the way that I feel strongly Damo is scum and I would like to lynch him. I note your argument. I need a think. There is time.
Just to help, since you are confirmed town, there is no way D5 heads to town being a minority if we no lynch. (note: I don't count the SK for or against the town, since they are personally motivated).

Assuming a No lynch happens into N4, it's still 5-3-1 going into N4.
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a town, we are at 3-3-1
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a scum, we are at 4-2-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a town, we are at 4-3-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a scum, we are at 5-2-1

All of these results still allow us to win.

If we mislynch now on D4, it's 4-3-1 going into N4. This makes the 4 options above become this:
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a town, we are at 2-3-1 - we have effectively lost.
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a scum, we are at 3-2-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a town, we are at 3-3-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a scum, we are at 4-2-1

Obviously, if we hit a scum now it's 5-2-1 into night, which is the best situation for us, but it's still a gamble. I don't like our situation with Foxcastle, who I agree could be the SK but I think that would be a weird way to play it, which would be putting possibly two towns up for lynch today. Then again, he could also be telling the truth and then there is for sure a scum in Lord and Damo.

I like letting scum and the SK lower our pool of lynch targets lower for D5, which would possibly provide some clarity on who the scum and SK are for us to get.

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:29 pm
by worcej
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:27 pm
As in:

$$Vote No-lynch.
Durp...

##vote No-lynch

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:34 pm
by Jamiet99uk
If we agree on no lynch, is there any reason to also hammer?

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:35 pm
by LordQuas
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:34 pm
If we agree on no lynch, is there any reason to also hammer?
no, we still have to discuss to try and guide the SK's NK

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:37 pm
by LordQuas
oh also if foxc IS actually town doctor, he's unblocked tonight and gets a chance to heal someone

ALSO we get another scan from jamie

Re: Mafia 41 - Sid Meiers Civilizaton Mafia - Official Game Thread

Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:43 pm
by Foxcastle
worcej wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:29 pm
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Mon Jan 14, 2019 8:16 pm
In the way that I feel strongly Damo is scum and I would like to lynch him. I note your argument. I need a think. There is time.
Just to help, since you are confirmed town, there is no way D5 heads to town being a minority if we no lynch. (note: I don't count the SK for or against the town, since they are personally motivated).

Assuming a No lynch happens into N4, it's still 5-3-1 going into N4.
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a town, we are at 3-3-1
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a scum, we are at 4-2-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a town, we are at 4-3-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a scum, we are at 5-2-1

All of these results still allow us to win.

If we mislynch now on D4, it's 4-3-1 going into N4. This makes the 4 options above become this:
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a town, we are at 2-3-1 - we have effectively lost.
If the NK hits a town and the SK hits a scum, we are at 3-2-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a town, we are at 3-3-1
If the NK hits the SK and the SK hits a scum, we are at 4-2-1

Obviously, if we hit a scum now it's 5-2-1 into night, which is the best situation for us, but it's still a gamble. I don't like our situation with Foxcastle, who I agree could be the SK but I think that would be a weird way to play it, which would be putting possibly two towns up for lynch today. Then again, he could also be telling the truth and then there is for sure a scum in Lord and Damo.

I like letting scum and the SK lower our pool of lynch targets lower for D5, which would possibly provide some clarity on who the scum and SK are for us to get.
This is very helpful and is close to convincing me on No Lynch.

Here's what I want to think about: if No Lynch is the best option for Town, what's to prevent SK and Mafia from just holding their kills and preventing Town from reaping the benefit of their actions?