Search found 2177 matches

by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:11 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

I think the mafia need to decide if they even have a chance to try to engineer a lynch of the BA, because they can't do it alone. And they have to decide before today. My view is that, at best, they can only put town in a position to play kingmaker between them and the BA. However, they do have a ch...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:53 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

So as far as BA goes, we have a problem: Mafia most likely know who the BA is but can't tell us because they would be discovered. I Suggest we set up a way for them to communicate that information through the night kill. How do we know if the mafia agree? How do we actually know they know who the B...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:37 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

If ND is BA, then I still think Percy is scum. And then I'd have to think about et, connor, and Flavius.
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:36 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Trying to reconsider, I still think ND is a good lynch. Perhaps more likely to be BA now. I think that if BA-ND were roleblocked, he would definitely claim, since it would possibly help him avoid the lynch today, and if he can get me lynched, he's well on his way to winning.
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:31 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Okay, the squigs case was a bad conspiracy train. Obviously incorrect, and squigs cannot be BA. But I can't help one last "but": Xorxes fakeclaimed the RB from N1. So scum were doing something other than using the RB to probe for BA, presumably because it put them at greater risk of being seen by th...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:25 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Ok, cool. Chippe is a weird kill, for either BA or Mafia, so I don't konw what to think there. Out of the many possibilities for what the Mafia and BA did, I think Mafia hitting BA, and BA killing Chippe is most likely. And I still think Fox is Mafia. ND is strange, here are the main possibilities ...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:36 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Yeah, that’s pretty fatal to the Squigs theory. I guess got wrapped up in thinking I’d figured something out. So did you skip over NDs post or ignore it? Neither. I recall reading it now, just before I started my commute home. I must have overridden the fact of it with excitement for the new theory...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:30 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Yeah, that’s pretty fatal to the Squigs theory. I guess got wrapped up in thinking I’d figured something out.
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:16 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Logging off shortly, so probably won't be responding to anything else until tomorrow.

Flavius, you're still honoring your bet, right?
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:14 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Interesting that Squigs is pushing the "we must lynch mafia or BA" perspective, but not the "we cannot lynch town" today. Much easier to push a mislynch and get into victory territory that way. Meant to include in this comment the note that Squigs is usually way more cautious, such that I think "ca...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:13 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Let's see. ND, Percy, Squigs, and Flavius will be on me, kinda no matter what, I think. So best case for me looks like a tie. But Durga would rather lynch me than let it tie... So that'll be 4-2-1. Assuming the best case for town where the NK puts it at 3-2-1, even if you lynch to 3-1-1, the NK make...
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:03 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Interesting that Squigs is pushing the "we must lynch mafia or BA" perspective, but not the "we cannot lynch town" today. Much easier to push a mislynch and get into victory territory that way.
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:00 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Squigs44 wrote:
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:51 am
Oh wait... BA wins if he makes it to final 3, so it does matter which order we lynch him in. We have to hit BA either today or tomorrow. Fox's math was still wrong, but mine was too...
Yeah, see, it's not so straightforward is it.
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:59 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Squigs44 wrote:
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:43 am
##vote Foxcastle

Should have followed Flav's blabbering and done this D4
I used to agree with this, but it was out of greed for those 100 coin Flavius will owe me when I flip.
by Foxcastle
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:58 am
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

##vote ND. I think he is likely to be either BA or mafia because he claimed rb. Let's work under the assumption the BA didn't hold his shot (because, why would he?). Here are the possible outcomes: 1. Mafia rb ND and use their night kill on Chippe - there's only one kill so ND is BA 2. Mafia hold t...
by Foxcastle
Wed Jun 19, 2019 11:07 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Durga wrote:
Wed Jun 19, 2019 10:38 pm
Fox - instead of lurking and +1ing Jamiet can you respond to me
No, I’m cooking dinner.
by Foxcastle
Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:34 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

I think Durga's analysis is correct.

##VOTE ND
by Foxcastle
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:22 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

Foxcastle wrote:
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:21 pm
Okay, I'll assume you're town.
And when I say that, I mean for the purposes of this exploration of Squigs only.
by Foxcastle
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:21 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

I am not BA or scum, but I was roleblocked last night. So what's your explanation of why there was only one NK? Could be a lot of things. BA and Mafia could have both hit Chippie. Mafia could have held the NK. BA could have held the kill and scouted. It's pretty imperative that we don't mislynch to...
by Foxcastle
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:18 pm
Forum: Forum Games
Topic: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD
Replies: 6548
Views: 29660

Re: Mafia 46 - Ace Attorney - GAME THREAD

In M39 I was mafia with ND (I got killed D1), and we were in a real bad spot. ND advocated for some crazy unorthodox NKs because chaos only helps scum, and if we had made the obvious kills, the status quo would have held and ND and (I think Yav) would have been lynched since they were the top scumr...