Finished: 03 PM Mon 23 Mar 15 UTC
Private end_work_friendships_2
3 days /phase
Pot: 140 D - Autumn, 1908, Finished
Classic, Survivors-Win Scoring
1 excused missed turn
Game drawn
11 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: Turkey again!
11 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: Physical board is up in the TI area.
12 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: everyone - I have a 20+ year long tradition of doing diplomacy in-character; please do not feel like you have to respond in kind. My in-game characters may express confusion and delight at your strange way of speaking.
13 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: import Data.List

sames :: (Eq a) => [a] -> [a] -> Int
sames [] _ = 0
sames _ [] = 0
sames (x:xs) (y:ys) | x == y = 1 + sames xs ys
| otherwise = sames xs ys

*Main> length $ filter (\ls -> sames "abcdefg" ls == 2) (permutations "abcdefg")
924

I don't understand that number yet, though.
13 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: There are 21 ways of choosing your two unmoved elements. For each, there are 44 "derangements" of the remaining 5 elements. (The derangement number is the nearest integer to n!/e, an interesting fact which I just learned. 120/e is 44.15...) So we have 21 * 44 = 924.
13 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: Anyway, the probability of this happening is .183, so it's not too uncommon.
14 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1901: I think the 21 part makes sense to me. Holding 'a' fixed, there are six possibilities for the other fixed element. With 'b' fixed, but not 'a' there are five possibilities and so on. Sigma 1..6 = 21. But the derangements ... I have no intuition about that, or why it should be approximately n!/e, so even if what you say is true, I still do not feel like I understand this at all. I agree, it's not that unlikely, which was all of our intuitions when discussing this the other day.
14 Dec 14 UTC Autumn, 1901: Europe is in flames! The game is afoot.
14 Dec 14 UTC Autumn, 1901: Europe is in flames! The game is afoot.
17 Dec 14 UTC Autumn, 1901: Heh, I typod (mouse'od?) and put in the order F:GoB to Finland :-) Argh
17 Dec 14 UTC Autumn, 1901: Ugh. Sorry about that. We were all wondering about that move, since it seemed pretty random. I did the same sort of thing last game. :/
25 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1902: Happy Christmas Diplomats!
25 Dec 14 UTC Spring, 1902: Happy Christmas Diplomats!
26 Dec 14 UTC Autumn, 1902: Hope everyone had a good holiday!
01 Jan 15 UTC Autumn, 1902: A Turkish New Year to all!
06 Feb 15 UTC Autumn, 1905: Things are looking pretty bad for old Germany...
15 Mar 15 UTC Spring, 1908: Are we entering turns this phase?
16 Mar 15 UTC I entered all holds and supports.
19 Mar 15 UTC Nice game guys.

Start Backward Open large map Forward End

England
crschummer (120 D)
Drawn. Bet: 20 D, won: 47 D
14 supply-centers, 13 units
France
btatnall (110 D)
Drawn. Bet: 20 D, won: 47 D
13 supply-centers, 13 units
Turkey
ogugenheim (255 D)
Drawn. Bet: 20 D, won: 47 D
7 supply-centers, 7 units
Italy
peter_ryan (100 D)
Defeated. Bet: 20 D
Russia
sozin (100 D)
Defeated. Bet: 20 D
Germany
hellige (100 D)
Defeated. Bet: 20 D
Austria
akombo (100 D)
Defeated. Bet: 20 D
Civil Disorders
akombo (100 D)Austria (Autumn, 1907) with 1 centres.
sozin (100 D)Russia (Spring, 1903) with 2 centres.
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